http://blogs.wsj.com/privateequity/2012/08/23/partners-group-chart-should-single-handedly-make-every-debt-fund-oversubscribed/?mod=WSJBlog
This Partners Group Chart Should Single-Handedly Make Every Debt Fund Oversubscribed
By Hillary Canada
Partners GroupInvestors have been pouring into mezzanine and other debt funds in
the first half of 2012 faster than beer pours into our glasses the hour
after our magazine goes to print – and looking at this chart from
Partners Group’s Private Markets Navigator it’s easy to see why.
To get similar yield from government debt as you might get from
private-sector senior debt, you’d have to venture into bonds from that
skittish trifecta of Spain, Italy and Portugal. Mezzanine investments
return twice that, according to Partners Group.
Additionally, as Partners Group points out in its report, if private
debt defaults, “an investor benefits from clear legal frameworks and
bankruptcy procedures, while on the government debt side, the outcome of
a restructuring is highly unclear and driven by political
negotiations.”
We’ve seen a host of firms riding this tide of enthusiasm for debt
instruments. This summer, Babson Capital launched not one but two new
businesses to supply midmarket and energy mezzanine financing. Carlyle
Group is also on the trail with an energy mezz fund, while Oaktree
recently increased the size of its latest distressed debt vehicle.
Across the Atlantic, Triton Partners, Butler Capital Partners, Permira and 3i Group were also gearing to raise debt funds, our Private Equity News colleague Ayesha Javed reported last month.
It’s easy to see why firms are eager to get a piece of the
action: the lack of access to traditional sources of financing
-particularly in Europe - seems to ensure a ready supply of investment
opportunities. In addition to a host of ’05-’07 era buyouts that need to
refinance their debt, the investment period for those vintage year
funds is quickly running out.
We talked briefly with Partners Group’s Scott Higbee about what
the impending expiration dates might mean for deal flow in the next six
months to a year.
“Use it or lose it is what we see right now, regardless of what GPs
may tell investors or potential investors,” said Higbee. “A lot of
people are anxious to get transactions done. That’s part of what is
propping up pricing in certain areas of the market. ”
“If you look at large-cap transactions, anything of quality is trading at double-digit EBITDA multiples,” he said.
However- once those investment periods, and their extensions (of
which there have already been many) run out, there could be some
bargains on the horizon. According to the report, Partners Group expects
“to see a turning point within the industry in the midterm, where
cash-rich 2005 to 2007 vintage funds will stop competing for new
investments, focusing instead on reserving uncalled capital for
potential follow-ons and costs. In the medium term, this should
gradually reduce competition for investments and ultimately benefit well
capitalized ’leaders.’”
For more on Partners Group’s Private Markets Navigator, click here.
